Driving India towards self sufficiency and freedom from oil

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August 14, 2025

India can shield itself from oil-price shocks and global pressure over Russian barrels by leaning harder into two strengths it already has: electric mobility (especially two-wheelers) and utility-scale solar paired with storage. Together, they cut import dependence, stabilize power costs, and keep more rupees at home.

Start with the sun. MNRE pegs India’s technical solar potential at ~750 GW, concentrated across high-irradiance states like Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Madhya Pradesh. India receives ~5,000 trillion kWh of solar radiation annually, yet solar adoption remains in its early stages, just 119 GW installed by July 2025. That’s within a power system that’s now ~49% non-fossil by capacity, showing how far we’ve come and how far we can go. It’s a rock-solid base to charge our two-wheelers, power our homes, and keep industry running—all without burning oil. Utility-scale batteries and pumped hydro storage are already being deployed under India’s national storage tender programs. These technologies smooth the evening ramp and monsoon variability, turning solar from “cheap when the sun shines” into “reliable, round-the-clock” supply. (Energy Tracker Asia, Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, Press Information Bureau)

On roads, electrification of India’s two- and three-wheelers is the fastest way to dent oil demand. These segments dominate urban trips and petrol consumption; their total cost of ownership already beats internal-combustion rivals in many use cases, explaining why they lead early EV adoption. EV two-wheelers already make up ~55% of total EV sales in India, and battery-swapping infrastructure is scaling rapidly in cities like Delhi, Bangalore, and Pune. Globally, EVs displaced more than 1.3 million barrels per day of oil in 2024 and are on track to exceed 5 mb/d by 2030. India can capture an outsized share of that displacement because our fleet is two-wheeler-heavy and highly price-sensitive to fuel costs. Even a modest EV adoption, such as one in four cars or two-wheelers, would materially reduce gasoline demand, ease our current-account burden, and make the economy less vulnerable to supply cuts or sudden price spikes by lowering reliance on imported oil. (IEA, Economic Times)

The geopolitical context only sharpens the case. Since late 2022, the G7 price cap and evolving U.S. sanctions architecture have targeted Russian oil flows. In 2025, Washington has openly floated punitive trade measures—including tariffs and secondary sanctions—toward countries that keep buying Russian crude. Whether or not any single tariff threat materializes, the direction of travel is clear: policy and price risk now rides with every imported barrel. Building domestic solar-and-storage solutions and swapping oil-burning kilometers for electric kilometers is our most reliable path to energy security. (The Times of India, ORF Online, The Guardian)

Policy priorities are straightforward:

  1. Accelerate utility-scale solar + storage: auction hybrids (solar/storage), standardize bankable contracts for battery storage, and fast-track transmission to RE parks.
  2. Make two-wheelers the EV spearhead: GST parity on affordable models, nationwide swappable-battery standards, and targeted finance for delivery and commuter segments.
  3. Charge where riders live and work: dense, low-power community charging for two-wheelers; megawatt-scale depots for EV fleets.

Energy self-sufficiency isn’t abstract. It’s millions of quiet, electric rides powered by Indian sunshine, backed by storage systems that keep the lights (and the wheels) turning, whatever the world throws at us.

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